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FLA @ TOR

Saturday, April 11, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
40-38-4 · Away
6 – 2
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA +110 · TOR -130
Puck Line
FLA +1.5 (-230) · TOR -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 6.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 8 → OVER W · TOR -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 FLAo6.5 51%
40-39
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
58%
23-17
0%
0-7
56%
44-34
TORo6.5 56%
44-35
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
59%
23-16
0%
0-7
60%
47-31
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA+1.5 60%
47-32
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
48%
19-21
71%
5-2
-27.99u
28-50
TOR-1.5 23%
18-61
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
26%
10-29
29%
2-5
-19.99u
32-46
Moneyline
win %
 FLA dog +110 47%
37-42
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
40%
16-24
57%
4-3
+8.29u
20-14
TOR fav -130 41%
32-47
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
46%
18-21
43%
3-4
-4.84u
14-14
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-144/u+112 FLA 48%
38-41
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
53%
21-19
57%
4-3
48%
38-41
 1.82 0.90 / 0.92
TOR 62%
49-30
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
67%
26-13
57%
4-3
62%
49-30
 1.82 0.84 / 0.99
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+154/u-200 FD 1.5 o-192/u+150 FLA 29%
23-56
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
30%
12-28
0%
0-7
57%
45-34
 1.91 0.81 / 1.10
TOR 41%
32-47
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
44%
17-22
0%
0-7
66%
52-27
 2.18 0.96 / 1.22
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+118/u-150 FLA 44%
35-44
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
48%
19-21
29%
2-5
61%
48-31
 2.51 1.15 / 1.35
TOR 46%
36-43
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
36%
14-25
29%
2-5
49%
39-40
 2.41 1.19 / 1.22
Team Comparison '25-26
FLATOR
Record (W-L-OTL)40-38-432-36-14
Points %51.2%47.6%
Goals for / game3.063.09
Goals against / game3.373.65
Shots for / game28.026.3
Shots against / game26.832.4
Power play %19.5%21.3%
Penalty kill %81.0%81.2%
Faceoff %46.6%54.3%
1st period GF / GA0.93 / 0.900.84 / 0.99
2nd period GF / GA0.84 / 1.110.95 / 1.23
3rd period GF / GA1.20 / 1.301.18 / 1.26
Avg game total6.436.73
Starting Goalies from the box score
17 saves on 19 shots · 2 GA · W
19 saves on 23 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA2130250/1
TOR0200191/1
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+325
 17% 40% 0%0/7 1 O
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+210
 14% 40% 14%1/7 1 O
Noah Gregor G 0.5
o+525
 12% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+300
 14% 20% 17%1/6 1 O
Cole Reinhardt G 0.5
o+600
 9% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+475
 6% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Nolan Foote G 0.5
o+550
 11% 10% — 0 U
Cole Schwindt G 0.5
o+475
 15% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Vinnie Hinostroza G 0.5
o+475
 8% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Tomas Nosek G 0.5
o+750
 0% 0% 0%0/3 2 O
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+650
 3% 0% 29%2/7 0 U
Luke Kunin G 0.5
o+700
 3% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Tobias Bjornfot G 0.5
o+1600
 6% 0% — 0 U
Mike Benning G 0.5
o+850
 0% 0% — 0 U
Donovan Sebrango G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Marek Alscher G 0.5
o+900
 0% — — 0 U
A.J. Greer PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 31% 60% 14%1/7 2 O
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 31% 50% 29%2/7 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 37% 40% 33%2/6 3 O
Mackie Samoskevich PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 32% 40% 43%3/7 3 O
Mike Benning PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 20% 10% — 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 31% 50% 0%0/7 0 U
A.J. Greer A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 19% 30% 14%1/7 1 O
Eetu Luostarinen A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 24% 20% 17%1/6 2 O
Mike Benning A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 20% 10% — 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 20% 0% 29%2/7 2 O
Eetu Luostarinen SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 41% 60% 50%3/6 1 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-185
 23% 40% 43%3/7 2 U
A.J. Greer SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+140
 37% 40% 43%3/7 2 O
Mackie Samoskevich SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+115
 34% 30% 43%3/7 3 O
Daniil Tarasov SV 23.5
o-105 / u-125
 61% 70% 100%1/1 17 U
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
John Tavares G 0.5
o+170
 34% 60% 71%5/7 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+140
 37% 30% 0%0/6 2 O
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+650
 10% 30% 0%0/7 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+225
 25% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+260
 18% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+575
 15% 20% 0%0/7 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+400
 20% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+400
 13% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+650
 11% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+600
 11% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1200
 5% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Michael Pezzetta G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+325
 19% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jacob Quillan G 0.5
o+700
 0% 0% — 0 U
William Villeneuve G 0.5
o+1100
 — — — 0 U
Luke Haymes G 0.5
o+500
 0% — — 0 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 62% 80% 86%6/7 1 O
Easton Cowan PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 40% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 44% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 40% 30% 29%2/7 0 U
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 34% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 51% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-190
 39% 20% 0%0/7 0 U
William Nylander PTS 1.5
o+160 / u-210
 34% 20% 0%0/6 2 O
William Nylander A 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 55% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 41% 40% 14%1/7 1 O
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 29% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 35% 30% 29%2/7 0 U
Easton Cowan A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 24% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Max Domi A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 25% 20% 17%1/6 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 27% 10% 0%0/7 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 40% 10% 33%2/6 0 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-130
 55% 50% 57%4/7 1 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-130 / u+100
 40% 50% 33%2/6 5 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 46% 40% 43%3/7 1 U
Nick Robertson SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 41% 30% 40%2/5 2 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 47% 30% 67%4/6 1 U
Easton Cowan SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 43% 30% 0%0/2 1 U
Joseph Woll SV 25.5
o-125 / u-105
 73% 90% 75%3/4 19 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Feb 26, 2026 at FLA TOR 1–5 0–30–01–2 6 6.5 U FLA
Jan 6, 2026 at TOR TOR 4–1 1–02–01–1 5 5.5 U TOR
Dec 2, 2025 at FLA TOR 4–1 2–00–12–0 5 6.5 U TOR
May 18, 2025 at TOR TOR 1–6 0–00–31–3 7 5.5 O FLA
May 16, 2025 at FLA TOR 2–0 0–00–02–0 2 5.5 U TOR
May 14, 2025 at TOR TOR 1–6 0–10–31–2 7 5.5 O FLA
May 11, 2025 at FLA TOR 0–2 0–10–00–1 2 5.5 U FLA
May 9, 2025 at FLA TOR 4–5 OT 2–11–31–0 9 5.5 O FLA
May 7, 2025 at TOR TOR 4–3 1–12–11–1 7 5.5 O TOR
May 5, 2025 at TOR TOR 5–4 3–11–01–3 9 5.5 O TOR