FLA @ TOR
Saturday, April 11, 2026 · 6:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA +110 · TOR -130
Puck Line
FLA +1.5 (-230) · TOR -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 6.5 (-115) · U (-105)
Graded: total 8 → OVER W · TOR -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 6.5 | FLA | o6.5 | 51% 40-39 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 58% 23-17 | 0% 0-7 | 56% 44-34 |
| TOR | o6.5 | 56% 44-35 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 59% 23-16 | 0% 0-7 | 60% 47-31 | |
| Puck Line cover % | FLA | +1.5 | 60% 47-32 | 40% 2-3 | 50% 5-5 | 48% 19-21 | 71% 5-2 | -27.99u 28-50 |
| TOR | -1.5 | 23% 18-61 | 0% 0-5 | 10% 1-9 | 26% 10-29 | 29% 2-5 | -19.99u 32-46 | |
| Moneyline win % | FLA dog | +110 | 47% 37-42 | 20% 1-4 | 30% 3-7 | 40% 16-24 | 57% 4-3 | +8.29u 20-14 |
| TOR fav | -130 | 41% 32-47 | 20% 1-4 | 30% 3-7 | 46% 18-21 | 43% 3-4 | -4.84u 14-14 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 0.5 |
DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-144/u+112 | FLA | 82% 65-14 | 100% 5-0 | 70% 7-3 | 85% 34-6 | 86% 6-1 | 48% 38-41 | 1.82 | 0.90 / 0.92 |
| TOR | 85% 67-12 | 100% 5-0 | 90% 9-1 | 95% 37-2 | 86% 6-1 | 62% 49-30 | 1.82 | 0.84 / 0.99 | ||
| 2nd Period over 0.5 |
DK 2.5 o+154/u-200 FD 1.5 o-192/u+150 | FLA | 86% 68-11 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 95% 38-2 | 86% 6-1 | 57% 45-34 | 1.91 | 0.81 / 1.10 |
| TOR | 86% 68-11 | 100% 5-0 | 100% 10-0 | 82% 32-7 | 86% 6-1 | 66% 52-27 | 2.18 | 0.96 / 1.22 | ||
| 3rd Period over 0.5 |
FD 2.5 o+118/u-150 | FLA | 94% 74-5 | 80% 4-1 | 80% 8-2 | 95% 38-2 | 100% 7-0 | 61% 48-31 | 2.51 | 1.15 / 1.35 |
| TOR | 94% 74-5 | 100% 5-0 | 100% 10-0 | 90% 35-4 | 100% 7-0 | 49% 39-40 | 2.41 | 1.19 / 1.22 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| FLA | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 40-38-4 | 32-36-14 |
| Points % | 51.2% | 47.6% |
| Goals for / game | 3.06 | 3.09 |
| Goals against / game | 3.37 | 3.65 |
| Shots for / game | 28.0 | 26.3 |
| Shots against / game | 26.8 | 32.4 |
| Power play % | 19.5% | 21.3% |
| Penalty kill % | 81.0% | 81.2% |
| Faceoff % | 46.6% | 54.3% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 0.93 / 0.90 | 0.84 / 0.99 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 0.84 / 1.11 | 0.95 / 1.23 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.20 / 1.30 | 1.18 / 1.26 |
| Avg game total | 6.43 | 6.73 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
FLA · Daniil Tarasov
17 saves on 19 shots · 2 GA · W
TOR · Joseph Woll
19 saves on 23 shots · 4 GA · L
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0/1 |
| TOR | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1/1 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| FLA | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Greer | G | 0.5 o+325 |
17% | 40% | 0%0/7 | 1 O |
| Mackie Samoskevich | G | 0.5 o+210 |
14% | 40% | 14%1/7 | 1 O |
| Noah Gregor | G | 0.5 o+525 |
12% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Eetu Luostarinen | G | 0.5 o+300 |
14% | 20% | 17%1/6 | 1 O |
| Cole Reinhardt | G | 0.5 o+600 |
9% | 20% | 0%0/1 | 1 O |
| Jesper Boqvist | G | 0.5 o+475 |
6% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Nolan Foote | G | 0.5 o+550 |
11% | 10% | — | 0 U |
| Cole Schwindt | G | 0.5 o+475 |
15% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Vinnie Hinostroza | G | 0.5 o+475 |
8% | 0% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Tomas Nosek | G | 0.5 o+750 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 2 O |
| Gustav Forsling | G | 0.5 o+650 |
3% | 0% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Luke Kunin | G | 0.5 o+700 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Tobias Bjornfot | G | 0.5 o+1600 |
6% | 0% | — | 0 U |
| Mike Benning | G | 0.5 o+850 |
0% | 0% | — | 0 U |
| Donovan Sebrango | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Marek Alscher | G | 0.5 o+900 |
0% | — | — | 0 U |
| A.J. Greer | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
31% | 60% | 14%1/7 | 2 O |
| Gustav Forsling | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
31% | 50% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Eetu Luostarinen | PTS | 0.5 o+115 / u-155 |
37% | 40% | 33%2/6 | 3 O |
| Mackie Samoskevich | PTS | 0.5 o-125 / u-105 |
32% | 40% | 43%3/7 | 3 O |
| Mike Benning | PTS | 0.5 o+175 / u-240 |
20% | 10% | — | 0 U |
| Gustav Forsling | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
31% | 50% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| A.J. Greer | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
19% | 30% | 14%1/7 | 1 O |
| Eetu Luostarinen | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
24% | 20% | 17%1/6 | 2 O |
| Mike Benning | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-325 |
20% | 10% | — | 0 U |
| Mackie Samoskevich | A | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
20% | 0% | 29%2/7 | 2 O |
| Eetu Luostarinen | SOG | 1.5 o-145 / u+110 |
41% | 60% | 50%3/6 | 1 U |
| Gustav Forsling | SOG | 2.5 o+140 / u-185 |
23% | 40% | 43%3/7 | 2 U |
| A.J. Greer | SOG | 1.5 o-185 / u+140 |
37% | 40% | 43%3/7 | 2 O |
| Mackie Samoskevich | SOG | 2.5 o-150 / u+115 |
34% | 30% | 43%3/7 | 3 O |
| Daniil Tarasov | SV | 23.5 o-105 / u-125 |
61% | 70% | 100%1/1 | 17 U |
| TOR | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Tavares | G | 0.5 o+170 |
34% | 60% | 71%5/7 | 0 U |
| William Nylander | G | 0.5 o+140 |
37% | 30% | 0%0/6 | 2 O |
| Steven Lorentz | G | 0.5 o+650 |
10% | 30% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Matthew Knies | G | 0.5 o+225 |
25% | 30% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Easton Cowan | G | 0.5 o+260 |
18% | 30% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Morgan Rielly | G | 0.5 o+575 |
15% | 20% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Jake McCabe | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
7% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Nick Robertson | G | 0.5 o+400 |
20% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Max Domi | G | 0.5 o+400 |
13% | 10% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | G | 0.5 o+650 |
11% | 0% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Calle Jarnkrok | G | 0.5 o+600 |
11% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Troy Stecher | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
5% | 0% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Michael Pezzetta | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Simon Benoit | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Matias Maccelli | G | 0.5 o+325 |
19% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Jacob Quillan | G | 0.5 o+700 |
0% | 0% | — | 0 U |
| William Villeneuve | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
— | — | — | 0 U |
| Luke Haymes | G | 0.5 o+500 |
0% | — | — | 0 U |
| John Tavares | PTS | 0.5 o-185 / u+140 |
62% | 80% | 86%6/7 | 1 O |
| Easton Cowan | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
40% | 50% | 50%1/2 | 1 O |
| Matias Maccelli | PTS | 0.5 o+100 / u-135 |
44% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | PTS | 0.5 o+110 / u-150 |
40% | 30% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Max Domi | PTS | 0.5 o+140 / u-185 |
34% | 30% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Matthew Knies | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
51% | 30% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Morgan Rielly | PTS | 0.5 o+145 / u-190 |
39% | 20% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| William Nylander | PTS | 1.5 o+160 / u-210 |
34% | 20% | 0%0/6 | 2 O |
| William Nylander | A | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
55% | 50% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| John Tavares | A | 0.5 o+115 / u-150 |
41% | 40% | 14%1/7 | 1 O |
| Matias Maccelli | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
29% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | A | 0.5 o+140 / u-190 |
35% | 30% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Easton Cowan | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
24% | 30% | 0%0/2 | 1 O |
| Max Domi | A | 0.5 o+225 / u-325 |
25% | 20% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Morgan Rielly | A | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
27% | 10% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Matthew Knies | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
40% | 10% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Morgan Rielly | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-130 |
55% | 50% | 57%4/7 | 1 U |
| William Nylander | SOG | 2.5 o-130 / u+100 |
40% | 50% | 33%2/6 | 5 O |
| John Tavares | SOG | 2.5 o+105 / u-140 |
46% | 40% | 43%3/7 | 1 U |
| Nick Robertson | SOG | 1.5 o+105 / u-140 |
41% | 30% | 40%2/5 | 2 O |
| Matthew Knies | SOG | 1.5 o-115 / u-115 |
47% | 30% | 67%4/6 | 1 U |
| Easton Cowan | SOG | 1.5 o-130 / u-105 |
43% | 30% | 0%0/2 | 1 U |
| Joseph Woll | SV | 25.5 o-125 / u-105 |
73% | 90% | 75%3/4 | 19 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | at FLA | TOR 1–5 | 0–3 | 0–0 | 1–2 | 6 | 6.5 U | FLA |
| Jan 6, 2026 | at TOR | TOR 4–1 | 1–0 | 2–0 | 1–1 | 5 | 5.5 U | TOR |
| Dec 2, 2025 | at FLA | TOR 4–1 | 2–0 | 0–1 | 2–0 | 5 | 6.5 U | TOR |
| May 18, 2025 | at TOR | TOR 1–6 | 0–0 | 0–3 | 1–3 | 7 | 5.5 O | FLA |
| May 16, 2025 | at FLA | TOR 2–0 | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2–0 | 2 | 5.5 U | TOR |
| May 14, 2025 | at TOR | TOR 1–6 | 0–1 | 0–3 | 1–2 | 7 | 5.5 O | FLA |
| May 11, 2025 | at FLA | TOR 0–2 | 0–1 | 0–0 | 0–1 | 2 | 5.5 U | FLA |
| May 9, 2025 | at FLA | TOR 4–5 OT | 2–1 | 1–3 | 1–0 | 9 | 5.5 O | FLA |
| May 7, 2025 | at TOR | TOR 4–3 | 1–1 | 2–1 | 1–1 | 7 | 5.5 O | TOR |
| May 5, 2025 | at TOR | TOR 5–4 | 3–1 | 1–0 | 1–3 | 9 | 5.5 O | TOR |